Since 1989 a sporadic, yet violent uprising began to proliferate in Indian controlled Kashmir by Pakistani Proxy Insurgents attempting to take control of the entire northern most regions shared by India, and Pakistan. This Insurgency has been backed by paramilitary and terrorist groups demanding that the Muslim majority in Kashmir be given full control of the entire Kashmir region. Thus-far about 70,000 Indian, and Pakistani civilian, police, military, and terrorists have perished as a result of these uprisings instigated primarily by Pakistan; as well as by India's sometimes harsh crackdowns on suspected terrorist individuals, and groups. The recent escalation of conflict between India, and Pakistan began on April 22, 2025 as a group of four suspected Pakistani backed terrorists shot 25 innocent Indian Tourists, plus a Nepalese guide in the picturesque Himalayan mountain meadows in Pahalgam in Indian controlled Jammu, and Kashmir Region.
Scroll Down to the conclusion of this article for a comparative analysis of the relative strengths, and weaknesses of both India, & Pakistan's conventional, and nuclear military troops & arsenals. What is the likelihood that these South Asian Nuclear Powers go to an all out Regional War, or Heaven forbid, what are the odds that this current conflict may escalate into World War III?
Kashmir, Ground Zero for World War III? Hypersonic Nuclear Missile Saber Rattling Between India and Pakistan @RealAlexJones explains how bitter animosities between Hindus, and Muslims on the Indian Subcontinent could be the spark 💥 that ignites
— DaKey2Eternity (@Key2Eternity) May 1, 2025
an Apocalyptic World War 3? pic.twitter.com/BhO1Nm05KD
— DaKey2Eternity (@Key2Eternity) May 5, 2025
Putin is voicing 'Full support to India':
— DaKey2Eternity (@Key2Eternity) May 5, 2025
Putin is sounding Russia's strong condemnation over Pakistan's Historical backing of Proxy Islamic Terrorist groups inside hotly contested Indian Controlled Kashmir Region
Yet Chinese Defense Deals make Beijing Pakistan's main Allie pic.twitter.com/R6gIZX0Kcw
Pakistan's 'Made in China' War:
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Joint Military Exercises, & Chinese Defense Deals From Fighter Jets to Submarines to Naval Frigates are the Backbone of Paki Military Strength.
CIA Reports indicate that Beijing helped establish Islamabad's Nuclear Program in the 1970's & 1980s pic.twitter.com/JbY8nnZU9I
The peoples of all Faiths on the Indian Subcontinent, were once United by their common dream to become free from the oppressive rule of British Colonialism; Yet once they gained their independence to live under "Self-Rule" the International Partition of India into the separate countries, of India, and East (now Bangladesh) and West Pakistan based upon religious lines has only resulted in a series of bitter conflicts primarily concerning the contentious status of the Mountainous region of Kashmir; between these two Nuclear Powers in South Asia. Could Kashmir with it's long held bitter animosities between Muslim's, Sikh's, and Hindu's on the Indian Subcontinent become Ground Zero with the recent terrorist attacks Killing 25 Indian Tourists, with 1 Nepalese Guide in Pahalgam a lovely Ski Town located in the Indian controlled Region of Jammu and Kashmnir, being the spark that ignites an apocalyptic World War III?
"Oh, let the sun beat down upon my face,
with stars to fill my dream.
I am a traveler of both time and space to
be where I have been.
To sit with elders of a gentle race
this world has seldom seen.
Who talk of days for which they sit and wait
When all will be revealed...
My Shangri-La beneath the summer moon,
I will return again.
Sure as the dust that blows high in June,
when movin' through Kashmir!"
"Kashmir" by Jimmy Page & Robert Plant
Led Zeppelin Physical Graffiti 1975
***** BULLETIN ***** 2025-04-29 11:05 p.m. IST; New Delhi:
After a three-hour plus meeting with India's Defense and Intelligence Minister's Prime Minister Modi announces:
"India is fully committed to crushing terrorism. I have complete trust in the Indian Armed Forces and have given them full freedom to choose how, when, and where to strike Pakistan."
Da Key Analysis: At this point it appears that, short of International; or Divine Intervention a serious clash between India and Pakistan is indeed going to happen.
Unlike the system of Secret Alliances in place upon the eve of World War I; If a full out Regional war breaks out between India and Pakistan the system of International Alliances backing either side of these two South Asian Nations is an Open Secret:
India counts upon the U.S., the U.K., the E.U., Japan, and Israel among its strongest Allies. Pakistan is backed by China, Turkey, Iran, and Malaysia. While Saudi Arabia, and the U.A.E. are staying neutral at this juncture.
Update April 29, 2025; New Delhi: Reports are coming in that Members of India's Parliament have already been briefed and told to: "Expect a nuclear confrontation" as hostilities spreading beyond sporadic gun, and mortar fire in the Jammu, and Kashmir Region, are already considered "inevitable" with additional rumors concerning the future of Pakistan:
"Pakistan will be divided into four (4) parts before the end of 2025!"
Meanwhile in Islamabad Pakistan's Minister of Defense Khawaja Muhammad Asif told Reuters that a "Military incursion by India is imminent" with earlier reports that Asif had declared:
"Pakistan is on High Alert, and we are ready to use nuclear weapons in the event of a direct threat to the existence of our country...The world should be concerned about the possibility of a conflict between two nuclear powers, India and Pakistan"..."Islamabad will have a very worthy response to Indian threats, both to Indian Aviation and to Hypersonic Missiles"
India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and his Armed Forces, are determined to crush Pakistan's support of Islamic Terrorist against the citizens of India. |
India has taken Offense to Pakistan's Defense Minister Khawaja Asif's recent public statements; suspending his X-Account in India. |
The current escalation, including exchanges of gun, and mortar fire of the seemingly never-ending tensions between Indoa and Pakistan was sparked by a terrorist attack, as gunmen killed 26 people, primarily Indian tourists while injuring 17 more on April 22, 2025, in the Baisaran Valley near Pahalgam, in Indian-administered Jammu and Kashmir. This incident is the deadliest terrorist attack in the region in the past two decades.
Painting of the Two Main Protagonists of the Indian Independence Movement in the Aftermath of World War II Muhammad Ali Jinnah, Founder of Pakistan with India's Mohandas K. "Mahatma" Gandhi The Indian National Congress (INC) founded in 1885, emerged as the primary platform for articulating India's socio-political grievances with British rule. Initially, patiently seeking moderate reforms like greater Indian representation in the hierarchical structure of centralized control, headed by the Governor-General; or later "Vice Roy" who reported to the British Crown in London in the British administration of India. By the early 20th century, under leaders like Bal Gangadhar Tilak, the INC began taking a more proactive assertive stance, demanding swaraj (self rule). INC tactics evolved from mere petitions, to mass mobilizations of protest against British rule after World War I, when British promises of Indian self-governance were unfulfilled, fueling even more distrust of their British rulers. Key events galvanizing the INC's resolve to press for India's Independence:
Under Mahatma Gandhi's leadership, with his educational background, and years of service in South Africa of being formally trained as a British Barrister (Lawyer) in London; the INC transformed into a major force of change in the Indian Subcontinent. Gandhi's philosophy of satyagraha (non-violent resistance) diverse groups such as: Peasants, farmers, whole villages, and even well educated Brahmins and urban elites joined in nationwide peaceful protest's against British sovereign rulership over India. Major Indian National Congress Non-Violent Peaceful Demonstrations Include:
While the Indian National Congress envisioned a peacefully united secular India, it faced internal challenges from communal tensions, exacerbated by long-standing British colonial tactics such as: "Divide and Rule" taking advantage of the rise of the All-India Muslim League, led by the London's Lincoln Inn educated barrister and politician Muhammad Ali Jinnah, which demanded greater Muslim representation in the INC, and eventually a their own separate states of East and West Pakistan. |
Gandhi and Nehru: Key Architects of Modern India
When the British Left India Jawaharlal Nehru was Gandhi's choice to become India's First Prime Minister, who helped establish the foundations of a secular Democracy during his 17 years as India's Chief Autonomous Political Leader. "By education, and thinking I am an English man, by culture a muslim, and only by birth a Hindu" Jawaharlal Nehru "Mahatma" (Great Soul, or Venerable) Gandhi" and Jawalharlal Nehru were pivotal figures in India's centuries old struggle for Independence, and Self-Rule. They had a shared vision of establishing a United India that would not merely tolerate, yet embrace the vast religious differences of all the people of India. While Mahatma Gandhi worked his way up from his Middle Class Background to earn his Law Degree from the Inns of Court School of Law, before initiating his Legal career in South Africa, ultimately Gandhi became the unquestionable Spiritual Leader of India; with his benevolent philosophies of Ahimsa (non-violence) and Sarvodaya (Uplifting of all humanity) during the latter third of his lifetime; both Gandhi, and Nehru advocated for a pluralistic India where peoples of all religions--Hinduism, Buddhism, Islamism, Christianity, Jainism, Judaism, Sikhism, and Taoism might coexist peacefully, and harmoniously with mutual respect of those from other cultural, and religious backgrounds. Nehru's intellect and rational administrative political philosophy was deeply influenced, by his secular worldview shaped by his London based Harrow Boarding School, and Cambridge University Educational background. While Gandhi's worldview was rooted in his Christ-like sacrifice of his personal desires; he idealized decentralized governance with the development of self-sufficient Kibbutz Like self-sufficient village-based economies which earned Mahatma the endearing love, and respect of India's masses of common people throughout the Subcontinent; Nehru ever the pragmatic modernist started his ascension to political power by aligning himself with Gandhi's movement of non-violent peaceful civil disobedience towards India's malevolent British Overlords in India's quest towards Self-Governance. Nehru envisioned a secular state where religion was separated from governance, striving for equal rights for all citizens regardless of Faith. |
Both Gandhi, and Nehru opposed the partition of India based along religious lines, rightfully concerned that it would undermine National Unity. Prior to 1947, Gandhi worked tirelessly to build Hindu-Muslim unity through interfaith dialogues with India's leading Islamic Mullah's, as well as by setting a stellar personal example of literally "Walking the Walk, and not just Talking the Talk;" While Nehru envisioned a United India as essential for her future Post-Independence economic, and political stability. Gandhi opposed rapid Industrialization out of his concerns that would erode, and alienate rural India's cultural values. Nehru championed a socialist-inspired big government approach promoting heavy industries, the construction of a vast network of dams (he called the Temples of Modern India) along her vast Himalayan sourced river systems; as well as the modernization of the nation via scientific advancements in the Post-World War II era. |
Impact of India's Independence & Self-Rule Post-World War II
In August 1947, in the Aftermath of India's Post-World War II Independence from Great Britain; the Partition of the Indian Subcontinent into Hindu-majority India, and Muslim-majority East and West Pakistan triggered one of the most violent, and tragic episodes of forced migration in modern history. The Two State Solution: Genesis of India-Pakistan's Never-ending conflicts: |
- Punjab: The division of Punjab, with Western regions allocated to Pakistan, and Eastern regions to India suffered the most intense migration and violence as entire villages and towns were uprooted as Muslims moved west and Hindus/Sikh moved eastward.
- Bengal: The significant displacement of Muslim-majority East Pakistan and Hindu-majority West Bengal became violent, yet was somewhat less intense than in Punjab due to cultural and linguistic connections that helped to mitigate some communal tensions.
- Additional Regions: Large migrations with accompanied violence occured in Sindh, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and Delhi, where religious minorities faced local hostilities, as they longed for safety in the newly created nations.
- Massacres: Armed mobs of Sikh jathas (armed groups), Muslim militias, and Hindu mobs targeted communities, attacking religious minorities in Villages and Towns with brutal efficiency.
- Sexual Violence: Women and even young girls by the tens of thousands were subjected to rape, abductions, and even forced conversions.
- Political Context: The Indian Independence movement lead by Indian National Congress personalities such as Gandhi, and Nehru whose primary focus was gaining India's Independence from British colonial rule. However the All_india Muslim League led by Jinnah, advocated for separate Muslim States on both sides of the Indian Peninsula. With the ratification of India's partition in August 1947 which triggered mass migrations of millions of Hindu's and Sikh's to newly Independent India, as well as the vast movements of millions of Muslims to both East and West Pakistan.
- Religious Tensions: The partition exacerbated already strained Hindu-Muslim tensions which had been simmering for decades due to the Self-Rule aspirations of peoples of all Faiths on the Subcontinent. Hindu Nationalist groups, such as the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) and Hindu Mahasabha, promoted a shared vision of India as a Hindu controlled nation, opposing the creation of pakistan, and viewing most Muslims with suspicion, as until this day.
- Motive's Behind Gandhi's Assassination: Nathuram Vinayak Godse was born into a privileged Chitpavan Brahmin family in western India. Godse was a devout Hindu, as well as a Hindu Supremacist. He was connected to the Hindu Mahasabha and he had ties to the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) a Hindu Nationalist group with strong convictions that India should be governed under the administration of Hindu Priests, and Brahmins.
- India's Strengths: India has a significantly larger military with 1.5 million active duty troops with an annual defense budget of $79 Billion, with advanced weaponry, including Rafale Fighter Jets, T-90S Tanks, S-400 Missile systems, and nuclear submarines. It's Navy has aircraft carriers like the INS Vikramaditya, and maritime patrol aircraft like the U.S. made P-8 Poseidon. India's vastly superior navy can enforce blockades along the Indian Ocean Coastal Regions of Pakistan. India's Air Force operates 542 combat aircraft.
- India's "Cold Start" military doctrine enables the rapid mobilization for limited conventional strikes like Prime Minister Modi is currently calling for. While India's larger and more diverse economy, as well as it's larger industrial base is more capable of supporting sustained military operations.
- India's Weaknesses: Bureaucratic inefficiencies , slow outdated military procurement processes, and over reliance on foreign suppliers like Russiam and France limit India's Self-Reliance militarily. India's vast borders, including ongoing tensions with China, as well as Pakistan, stretch it's resources. While Internal Security challenges, such as insurgencies in Kashmir, as well along its borders with Bangladesh tend to divert India's focus militarily.
- India's Strengths: India has approximately 164 Nuclear Warheads in it's Arsenal; with land, sea, and air-based delivery systems. including Agni (Fire) missiles as well as nuclear-capable submarines. It's No First Use (NFU) policy since 2019 signals India's restraint from initiating a nuclear war.
- Weaknesses: India's nuclear command and control, while robust, faces significant challenges in coordinating attacks across vast geographical areas. Its NFU policy may limit its preemptive sneak attack options, and ongoing concerns with China, drive the expansion of India's Nuclear Arsenal, tend to divert resources away from Pakistan-specific strategies.
- Strengths: Pakistan's military with 655,000 active duty Troops is well trained and battle tested from handling counter-insurgency operations with a strong Air Force (498 jets). Its Navy is equipped with nuclear capable submarines, with cruise missiles. While its annual defense budget is only $7.6 billion, Chinese support including JF-17 Fighter Jets, and advanced drones enhances Pakistan's Military punch. Pakistan, with its ties to Islamic Terrorism groups excels in asymmetrical warfare tactics, making full use of available terrain, as well militant proxies could offset India's conventional military advantage.
- Weaknesses: Pakistan's smaller economy and military budget restrict the modernization, as well as potential sustainment of prolonged military campaigns. Pakistan's over-reliance on Chinese Military equipment limits its strategic autonomy, while internal political turmoil and terrorism strains its finite resources. Pakistan's Navy is outmatched by India's fleet of experienced naval commanders, and superior vessels.
- Strengths: Pakistan has approximately 170 Nuclear Warheads, projected to reach 250 in the next 24 months. Its focus is on tactical nuclear weapons to counter India's conventional superiority. Pakistan's "Full Spectrum Deterrence" doctrine allows First-Strike options if its facing an invasion. Its Warheads are stored separately to reduce the chances of accidental detonations, yet they have developed rapid final assemblies of its nuclear arsenal.
- Weaknesses: Pakistan's reliance on tactical nuclear weapons increases the risks of escalation of war, as battlefield use would provoke Indian nuclear retaliation. Limited underground storage of its nuclear warheads due to its rugged geography makes its nuclear arsenal vulnerable to preemptive surprise strikes.
- Conventional: India holds a clear advantage in manpower, military budget, and advanced platforms, enabling sustained operations and potential blockades. Pakistan's comparative strengths are in well established defensive strategies, asymmetric warfare tactics, and battle experience, yet Pakistan can not match India's military scale or resources.
- Nuclear: Both nations have comparable nuclear arsenals, but Pakistan's tactical focus and First-Use Doctrine contrast with India's strategic emphasis, and NFU policy. Pakistan's smaller geographical size makes it more vulnerable to a devastating Indian retaliation, while India's larger nuclear arsenal is partly aimed at China, reducing its focus on the use of nuclear weapons against Pakistan.
"Blessed are the meek; for they shall inherit the earth. Blessed are they which do hunger and thirst after righteousness; for they shall be filled. Blessed are the merciful; for they shall obtain mercy. Blessed are the pure in heart: for they shall see God. Blessed are the peacemakers: for they shall be called the children of God."