Tuesday, July 21, 2020

Which Path to October Surprise in Persia? Could Israel vs Iran Proxy War Light the Fuse to World War III?

Massive Fire at a Shipyard in Bushehr Iran July 15, 2020
(Photo Credit FARS News Agency)

Da New Seize World Report
via Daniyel
הר חרמון רמת הגולן ישראל
Har Chermon Golan Heights Israel
July 20, 2020

Beginning on June 26 2020, a wave of massive explosions, large scale industrial accidents including a electrical power grid center in Shiraz, a chemical plant in Mahshahr, as well as devastating fires that have broken out at key Iranian military, and civilian facilities including the Islamic Republics primary medium, and Intercontinental ballistic missile production centers in Khojir, as well as on the outskirts of Tehran; as well as a key nuclear enrichment complex in Natanz. On July 15th, seven Iranian ships mysteriously caught fire at the Persian Gulf port of Bushehr, located in the Province known as Elam in the Bible, near a strategic Nuclear Power Plant, believed by key intelligence sources to stockpile Russian supplied nuclear weapons. 

While some of these incidents may have been accidental in nature, the timing of, and the nature of the specific targets hit tend to implicate Israeli IDF, and/or U.S. Neo Con backed Military or U.S.backed Terrorist entanglements. If this indeed turns out to be the case, then these recent attacks on Iran may well escalate into a full blown war in the Middle East; that quite possibly could be the fuse that sets off World War III before the U.S. Presidential Election on Tuesday November 3rd 2020. 


Via anonymous leaks made to various media outlets, Israeli intelligence sources have tended to implicate the Jewish States involvement in at least some of these recent incidents inside Iran. After the explosions inside the Natanz uranium enrichment complex on July 2nd, that may well have set back Iranś nuclear warhead production capabilities for several months if not years a ¨Middle Eastern intelligence official with specific knowledge of the episode¨ told the New York Times  that Israel was responsible for the attack.  Avigdor Lieberman the founder of Yisrael Beiteinu (Israel our home) secular nationalist conservative party implicitly accused Yossi Cohen the Mossad chief of being the N.Y. Times source, implying that the leak was part of Cohenś ongoing campaign to replace Benyamin Netanyahu as head of the Likud Party. 
Iranś Natanz Uranium enrichment facility after a fire broke out on July 2nd  (Photo Credit AP)

# Iran Fires/Explosion Map Incidents between June 26-July 19 2020

With so much smoke pouring out of Israeli intelligence circles why has the Jewish State chosen to apparently amp up itś long running Proxy War with Iran at such a time as this? 


Which Path to Persia? Options for a New American Strategy Towards Iran the Brookings Institute
Infamous 2009 Neo Con White Paper 


Are Israeli and/or U.S. backed terrorist groups operating presently behind the scenes in Iran implementing this infamous Neo Con strategy for overthrowing the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran led by the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, as a last second ¨Hail Mary¨ October Surprise before their window of opportunity closes if a Democrat wins the 2020 U.S. Presidential election?

There is not much mystery as to why the Pro War Hawks both in Jerusalem, and Washington D.C. might have chosen to escalate their acts of war against Iran in the past few weeks. Iran has suffered considerable economic woes due to ongoing U.S. Sanctions, and its regime has been dealing with increasing domestic protests against the Islamic Republic. Those protests have emboldened the remnant of the Neo Con Hawks who have long coveted Iran for Regime Change. 


Flashback: General Wesley Clark reveals Pentagon Plan after 9/11 to ¨Take Out 7 Countries in 5 Years¨ concluding with Iran

The Iranian regime has yet to collapse, yet prior to its recently announced 25 year, economic development pact with China its weakened position was evident when Iran was unable to mount a meaningful response to the U.S. drone strike assassination of Major General of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Qasem Soleimani  in Baghdad  Iraq in January 2020. 




Why might Israel be targeting these Iranian facilities without a formal Declaration of War against Iran at this time? Clearly Washingtonś ¨Maximum Pressure¨ economic sanctions against Tehran have had a major negative impact on the Islamic Regimes power and influence in the Middle East. 
Perhaps Netanyahuś hawkish government which is actually being criticized for not neutralizing the ongoing threat against Israel  foresaw a narrow window of opportunity to set back Iranś military, and nuclear aspirations; before the ink was signed on Beijingś and Tehranś proposed 25 year agreement; a multibillion dollar economic and security deal between Iran and China. 


 Meanwhile with the 2020 U.S. Presidential election on the horizon Donald Trump, who shares Netanyahu’s interest in achieving regime change in Iran but he seems keen not to commit U.S. military personnel directly to that objective. Israel’s new approach since 2018, called the “octopus doctrine,” has entailed targeting the Iranian advisers and officials who direct and support proxy forces in other countries (like Soleimani), rather than targeting the proxies themselves.
The meeting of the minds between the Netanyahu and Trump administrations on Iran is another likely motivation for the timing of its covert sabotage campaign. The Israeli government is as aware as anyone of the polls showing that Trump seems likely to lose reelection in November and exit the White House in January (nightmare constitutional crises and soft-coup scenarios notwithstanding). A potential Biden administration would probably not continue Trump’s “maximum pressure” approach to Iran and would not be as mindful of Israel’s covert operations. It is unclear whether the U.S. has explicitly or tacitly blessed the past month’s attacks, but the administration certainly isn’t condemning them. Israel may realize they have a limited window of time to act with full latitude from Washington and is perhaps seeking to do as much damage to Iran as possible before that window closes.
The peril, is that these provocations could escalate into the all-out war Israel has been trying to avoid. Unsubstantiated  reports are materializing that Iran is preparing to retaliate militarily against Israel and the U.S. for these attacks, amid other threatening statements from Iran’s military over Israeli attacks on Iranians in Syria. However, Iran declined to take major retaliatory measures after the assassination of Soleimani and is arguably in an even worse position to escalate conflict now than it was in January. Some experts told Vox they doubted Iran would see these acts of sabotage as a reason to mount a forceful response, especially from its current position of weakness.
Nonetheless, the E.U. official who spoke to Insider expressed fear that “the Israeli plan here is to provoke an Iranian response that can turn into a military escalation while Trump remains in office.” Indeed, it may be Israel, not Iran, that makes the decision to escalate. Perhaps Netanyahu decides that war with Iran is the lever he needs to secure his political future; perhaps Trump, who has been trying to obfuscate his disastrous mishandling of the pandemic, comes to the same conclusion for himself. More likely, Israel’s military leaders consider war with Iran a risk they are willing to take to severely set back its development of nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, as long as they know they would have the backing of the U.S. in any such conflict.
If Israel goes all in on crippling Iran’s military capabilities over the next three months, the likelihood of war will continue to increase whether or not Israel intends to start one or Trump wants to join in. That danger becomes greater if either Netanyahu or Trump sees a political opportunity in confronting the Iranian regime head-to-head. Whether such a confrontation would actually redound to Trump’s electoral benefit is doubtful, as opinions on Iran are already baked into the partisan cake and more proximate domestic crises are more likely to decide November’s outcome. Still, any event that escalates the sense of chaos and national emergency in the U.S. will be unwelcome in the run-up to what is already likely to be a historically dysfunctional presidential election. As we all wait with bated breath to find out if there will be some kind of “October surprise” this fall, we unfortunately can’t rule out the possibility of another destructive war in the Middle East¨.


While the land of Persia (modern day Iran) is featured prominently in the Gog/Magog invasion of Latter Day Israel in the Prophecy of Ezekiel Chapters 38-39, lets examine this passage that focuses on the Land of Elam located on the Southwest Coast of Iran between the Persian Gulf, and the Zagros Mountains; found in Chapter 49 of the Book of Jeremiah which may well precede the Gog/Magog War:
34) That which came as the word of the LORD to Jeremiah the prophet concerning Elam, at the beginning of the reign of Zedekiah king of Judah, saying:
35) Thus says the LORD of hosts,
‘Behold, I am going to break the bow of Elam,
The finest of their might.
36) ‘I will bring upon Elam the four winds
From the four ends of heaven,
And will scatter them to all these winds;
And there will be no nation
To which the outcasts of Elam will not go.
37) ‘So I will shatter Elam before their enemies
And before those who seek their lives;
And I will bring calamity upon them,
Even My fierce anger,’ declares the LORD,
‘And I will send out the sword after them
Until I have consumed them.
38) ‘Then I will set My throne in Elam
And destroy out of it kings and princes,’
Declares the LORD.
39 ‘But it will come about in the last days
That I will restore the fortunes of Elam,'”
Declares the LORD.



In his book Nuclear Showdown with Iran Bill Salus examines this rather obscure prophecy found in Jeremiah 49 and he believes this passage forewarns of a coming surprise strike by IDF Forces against the Bushehr Nuclear Complex located in the Ancient Persian Province known as Elam. Could this be the October Surprise that might serve as a catalyst for the re-election of Donald Trump for a second term? How close our we to ¨The Last Trump?¨ 1 Corinthians 15:51-55

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