Tuesday, May 6, 2025

Who Holds Da Cards in the Global Economies Tariff Trade Wars between Trump and Xi Jinping?

 

Social Unrest has broken out in China as Factory Workers have been sent Home due to declining Manufacturing Orders. Is America enjoying the Calm Before the Storm as Incoming Container Ships to Western Port Cities in the United States from China have already dropped by 30%? What will the effects be on American Workers, and Consumers in the next few weeks, and beyond if Donald Trump, and Xi Jinping are unable to; or too stubborn to reach a mutually beneficial new Trade, and Tariffs Deal? Could this current Global Trade War escalate into a Thermonuclear Hot Mess, of Biblical Proportions, as tensions increase between India, and Pakistan; Israel and Iran, and Ukraine and Russia? Who really 'Hold's Da Card's', and Who will back down first in this Twenty First Century "Game of Chicken" Tariff and Trade War between America's POTUS 47 Donald Trump, and China's 7th Premier Xi Jinping?

Da New Seas World Report
via Daniyel
Port of Long Beach California
May 6th, 2025

Gene Seroka, the Executive Director of the Port of Los Angeles was interviewed by Bloomberg News on Saturday May 3rd; Laying out a disturbing timeline of potential supply chain disruptions, negatively affecting the economies, workers, and consumers of China, the United States, and Beyond due to rapidly decreases in Shipping, and Trucking demands leading to plunging inventories of Foods,  Medicines, Vitamins, Home Building, and Improvement Goods, Automobile Parts etc. affecting Restaurants, Retail and even Online Shopping. 

 


Reports of Civil Unrest in China, from Factory Shutdowns, and Port City Workers being sent home have been making the rounds on YouTube, and other Social Media Sites for the past couple of weeks. 

How soon until such Civil Unrest may reach America's Shores, and Beyond? Speed is of the essence as Trump has just a few weeks to successfully hammer out a mutually beneficial Trade and Tariff Deal with Xi Jinping; in order to avoid irreversible damage to the Global Supply Chain, as well as to the economy from International Corporations like Amazon, Walmart, and COSCO, to 'Mom and Pop Restaurants, and Shops as well as to workers both in America, as well as China still recovering from the devastation of the Covid-19 Globalist's "Gain of Fauci" Plandemic. 

 

Stop trying 2 Fight it out Boys, & show Da World Dat Da Art of Da Deal where both sides benefit really Trump's Da Art of War!

Will this Battle of the Cult of Personalities between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping result in a "Checkmate" to either the United States, or the People's Republic of China; or will both of these Titans of the Technocratic Era settle for a mutually beneficial "Stalemate" in the best interests of their respective citizens as well as a Global Economic De'tente of preserving the Global Supply Chain as "A Rising Tide Raises All Ships!" 



What are the potential effects of a short term, or an extended Trans-Pacific Supply Chain Disruption in both the United States, as well as in China, and Beyond? 

Bidenomics enabled Donald Trump to regain the U.S. Presidency. Can Trump pull off a mutually beneficial Art of Da Deal Tariff Agreement with Xi Jinping before the value of the U.S. Dollar takes a Nose-Dive and the Global Cysts usher in their long planned electronic Central Bank Digital Currency? (CBDC) 


 United States:  In the next One to Two Weeks (Mid-May 2025):  
  • Import Volumes & Total Shipping Container Ships: A 35% drop in Container Ship arrivals from China with a 30% decline in import economic values is now occurring as American Importers are cancelling orders, and Chinese Exporters are pausing production; as cancellations of May Shipments are already evident. 
  • Ports: Existing backlogs worsen due to Manpower shortages, as docks place limits on unloading capacity; as fewer ships mean less work for longshoremen.
  • Trucking Industries: Interstate Trucking volumes are expected to drop significantly; as fewer containers mean reduced loads, and runs eventually leading to underemployment for Commercial Truck Drivers.
  • Retail Businesses: Retail Industry Insiders report they have between 5 to 7 weeks of inventory, yet high-demand items like apparel, electronics, appliances, & toys will face spot shortages. Price hikes of 10%+ are planned to offset Trump's Tariff costs, impacting consumer prices. 
  • Restaurant Businesses: While initial impacts will be minimal, with the exception of Asian Eateries, as supply chains for imported ingredients like spices, and specialty foods may see early delays, especially for smaller volume establishments. 

 China:  In the next One to Two Weeks (Mid-May 2025):  

  • Manufacturing & Shipping Volumes:  China's Factories drop production by 15% in anticipation of vastly reduced orders for "Made in China" Goods by U.S. Retailers, including Amazon. Chinese Exporters shift focus to primarily European, and Southeast Asian Markets, as direct Container Ship booking from China to the U.S. continue to plummet.
  • Ports: Chinese Ports like Shanghai the world's busiest International Shipping Port handling 49 Million Twenty Foot Equivalent Units yearly (TEU/Standard Shipping Container Length) see reduced direct outbound traffic to the U.S. causing Dock congestion as containers pile up or are rerouted via third countries like Vietnam; as shrewd exporters retag merchandise to obscure the point of origin of Chinese goods (i.e. "Made in Vietnam) to avoid U.S. Customs High Tariffs on Chinese products. 
  • Trucking Industries:   Domestic trucking in China slows as export goods stagnate, reducing demand for transport to Coastal Ports. 
  • Retail & Restaurant Businesses:  Limited immediate domestic impact. yet export-driven businesses like electronics, apparel, toys, cell phones, etc. face revenue declines, affecting local supply chains. 

United States: in the next 3 to 4 Weeks (Late May to Early June 2025)

  • Import Volumes & Shipping Container Ship Pacific Crossings:    Import declines intensify, with a sustained 30-35% drop in container volumes. Southeast Asian shipments also drop due to global trade uncertainty.
  • Ports: Congestion persists due to labor and equipment shortages. Dockworkers/Longshoremen face reduced shifts of less than a full workweek negatively impacting wages, (Every four containers represent one job) as declines directly impact employment. 
  • Trucking Industries: Trucking activity plunges, with reduced loads leading to furloughs, or layoffs. Long-haul drivers see 20-30% fewer assignments. 
  • Retail Businesses:   Merchandise Shortages become noticeable, and upset consumers with scarcity, and rising prices for goods like fashion apparel, home goods, and toys. Retailers cancel orders or pause imports, awaiting Tariff clarity. Online Retailers like Amazon & Walmart.com face delays for Chinese made goods accounting to as much as 80% for some item categories. 
  • Restaurant Businesses: Imported food supplies like seafood, sea-weed, and specialty seasonings face delays, raising costs/reducing profits for independent family owned restaurants, while larger chains may adjust menus and raise prices. 

China: in the next 3 to 4 Weeks (Late May to Early June 2025)

  • Export Volumes & Shipping:  U.S. bound exports further drop as manufactures pivot to global, non-U.S. markets or even halt production of some goods. Empty containers continue to pile up disrupting round trip efficiencies of scale. 
  • Ports:    Congestion at China's Coastal Ports like Ningbo-Zhoughan (28 Million TEU annually) intensifies as export volumes stall. Ports prioritize shipments to other regions, yet global demand will be able to fully absorb U.S.-market losses. 
  • Trucking Industries:  Trucking demand continues to decline, with drivers facing reduced hours and even job losses in export-heavy manufacturing regions.
  • Retail & Restaurant Businesses:  China's Domestic retailers experience indirect effects as export revenues drop, reducing investments in local markets. Restaurant and Food Industry Suppliers reliant on export-related jobs may see lower customer spending. 

United States: in the next 5 to 7 Weeks (Mid June to early July 2025) 

  •  Import Volumes & Shipping Container Ships:   U.S. Inventory depletion accelerates as pre-tariff shipments run dry. Chinese-made goods (Up to 80% of Walmart-like non-food inventories) face widespread shortages. Summer fashions, swimwear, outdoor furnishings, yard care items, tools, and back-to-school items will be hit the hardest. 
  • Ports: U.S. Ports operate well below capacity, with significant job losses. Unloading delays persist due to Dockworker labor cutbacks. 
  • Trucking Industries: America's Trucking industry faces severe cutbacks with 30-40% fewer loads, as layoffs spike, and smaller firms, and Independent Truckers face bankruptcy. 
  • Retail Businesses:   Empty store shelves exceed Covid-19 era levels, as panic buying sets in. Electronics, apparel, seasonal items, and food experience increasing price hikes. Online platforms like Amazon report increasing inventory stockouts, as 37% of U.S. clothing apparel, and 58% of footwear imports currently come from China increasingly are becoming unavailable. American consumers despair as Price Hikes continue to escalate as the value of the U.S. Dollar plunges. 
  • Restaurant Businesses:  Supply chain issues disrupt food imports, forcing menu changes or closures for smaller "Mom & Pop" restaurants. Larger chains better absorb costs by reducing labor costs by ever increasing use of online ordering for takeout consumers, and/or customer order kiosks for dine in customers, yet be far too willing to pass on price increases even as consumer demand for restaurant meals plunge. 

  China:  in the next 5 to 7 Weeks (Mid June to early July 2025) 
  •     Export Volumes & Shipping:   Exports to the U.S. are in free-fall approaching "Terminal Velocity,"  with larger manufacturers shifting to global, and domestic markets; with smaller factories shutting down leading to increasing civil unrest in China's cities. Shipping companies reroute vessels, yet can not replace lost U.S. demand for Chinese goods. 
  •     Ports:   Major Ports face underutilization of facilities, with significant layoffs of Chinese Dockworkers. Empty container repositioning costs rise, straining logistics for Shipping companies. 
  •    Trucking Industries:  China's Trucking sector sees widespread layoffs, metastasizing in export hubs like Shanghai, as shipments of finished goods from Manufacturing Centers to Coastal Ports further stall. 
  •   Retail & Restaurant Businesses:   Domestic retail volumes in China's largest cities continue to weaken, as export-driven job losses vastly reduce consumer spending, as civil unrest intensifies.  Restaurant patronage in Factory, and Industrial zones plummet, as shutdowns drive workers back to their rural roots. Smaller towns, and villages may actually see increased demands from returning city worker layoffs. 
  

    Best Case Scenario:  Trade Deal Reached by the end of May 2025. The United States, and China work together to help resolve current global conflicts and "wars and rumors of wars" between India and Pakistan, Ukraine and Russia, and Israel and Iran (Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthi Rebels Et al.)

United States:   The Trump Administration comes to a swift new Trade and Tariff Deal with China, restoring import flows with container ships repositioned within a  few weeks. Port and Trucking Industries stabilize, avoiding layoffs. Retailers maintain inventories, while limiting price hikes to 5%. Supermarkets, and Restaurants experience no significant disruptions. 

China:   Chinese exports rebound quickly, with factories resuming production helping Xi Jinping's Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to swiftly resolve civil unrest due to reductions in income/job losses in the key manufacturing, trucking, and shipping industries, as demand recovers. Retail, and restaurants stabilize as export revenues recover. Economic impacts limited to short-term uncertainty. 

   Worst-Case Scenario: No Trade Deal by August 2025 or Beyond: 

United States:  
  •  Supply Chain woes: Imports directly from China plunge, as Tariffs of 145% or greater may result in 50-60% or more reductions in Trans-Pacific container volumes. Southeast Asia and other regional ports are unable to keep up with demand. Up to 80% drops in discretionary goods (electronics, apparel, toys are unavailable Increasingly empty shelves due to stockouts lead to panic buying and significantly higher prices on items still in stock. 
  •  Ports and Trucking: American Ports now operating at just 30-40% of capacity, with hundreds of thousands of longshoremen, and truckers laid off. Trucking firms facing bankruptcy with 50% load reductions. 
 Retail & Restaurants: Major retailers like Walmart, Sams, Target, COSCO, even Amazon face increasing out of stock issues, aggravating their customers. Price hikes of 20-30% cause smaller retailers to close due to thinning profit margins. Restaurants face ingredient shortages driving "Mom and Pop" Restaurants to close down, as customers increasingly can no longer afford to dine out. 
  • Economic Impacts: Recession kicks in by midsummer 2025 (63% of surveyed firms predict this) with 2-3 million job losses in logistics, manufacturing, transporting, restaurant, and retail industries. Consumer spending drops 10-15% while price increases exacerbate economic contractions. 

 China: 
  •   Supply Chain:  Exports to the United States increasingly shrink, due to China's Factory closures; and shifting production to other global, and domestic markets. Yet global demand outside of the U.S. can not absorb losses, leading to a 30-40% decline in China's export revenues. 
  •  Ports and Trucking:  Ports like Shanghai become underutilized by as much as 50%, with countless millions of China's port, and trucking jobs lost. Logistics firms collapse as dormant container costs pile up at Coastal Ports, and manufacturing cities. 
  •  Retail & Restaurants: China's domestic retail sector shrinks due to job losses between 10-15 million, as consumers curb their spending. Restaurants in factory towns, and industrial regions see 20-30% drops in revenue. 
  •  Economic Impacts:  China's GDP growth stalls, as the CCP, and local police must deal with increasing social unrest by unemployed working age citizens; especially critical in export-dependent regions. Government intervention (subsidies, domestic stimulus packages) mitigate social protests somewhat, yet inflation will still fan the flames of dissent. 


  While the Holy Scriptures do not explicitly mention the United States, or China by name in Bible Prophecy concerning the "last days" before the return of Messiah Yeshua; (Jesus of Nazareth) Several Bible scholars and prophecy teachers do interpret certain passages as potentially referring to modern nations, including the U.S. and China; based upon symbolic imagery of "Beasts, and Dragons" such as by the prophet Daniel as well as by the apostle John in the Book of Revelation. 

  The United States potential role in Bible prophecy: Some prophecy teachers identify the United States with "Mystery Babylon" in Revelation 17-18:
 
"Her plagues will come in a single day, death and mourning and famine, and she will be burned up with fire; for mighty is the LORD God who has judged her." 

Due to the United States of America's current and historic global economic dominance, cultural influence for better or worse, and its clear moral decline into abominable depravity. 
Revelation 18 describes a prideful, wealthy, powerful entity that trades globally; yet faces sudden destruction in only one hour (Nuclear Annihilation?); making the United States a non-factor in the biblical end times. 

  Israel is at the heart of all Bible prophecy: The Holy Scriptures emphasize Israel's centrality during Acharyt Ha-Yamin (The Last Days) before the return of Messiah Yeshua to at last defeat his enemies, and to rule and reign in truth and righteousness from Jerusalem. Isaiah 2, Zechariah 12, Revelation 20. Yet before that time the infamous "Man of Sin" the Anti-Messiah (Antichrist) of Revelation 13 will make war with the Saints. Daniel 7

  China's potential Role in Bible prophecy:  China is often symbolized with the Red Dragon Revelation 20, and is often linked to the "Kings from the east in Revelation 16; as well as to the 200-million-man army of Revelation 9, due to its massive population of military-aged men, rapidly emerging military power, and geopolitical ambitions with its global "Belt, and Road: global infrastructure aspirations; as well as its geographic position east of the Euphrates River. Many biblical scholars foresee China as being pivotal to a coalition of eastern nations referenced as "Gog and Magog" and joined by northern forces invading Israel a modern land of "unwalled villages" in Ezekiel 38-39. 

  Just Who shall ultimately win this Universal Trade War? Well it ultimately will be neither Donald Trump, or Xi Jinping; for it shall be our Sar Shalom, the Prince of Peace; Messiah Yeshua aka Jesus of Nazereth: 

 


1 Arise, shine; for thy light is come, and the glory of the LORD is risen upon thee. 2 For, behold, the darkness shall cover the earth, and gross darkness the people: but the LORD shall arise upon thee, and his glory shall be seen upon thee. 3 And the Gentiles shall come to thy light, and kings to the brightness of thy rising. 4 Lift up thine eyes round about, and see: all they gather themselves together, they come to thee: thy sons shall come from far, and thy daughters shall be nursed at thy side. 5 Then thou shalt see, and flow together, and thine heart shall fear, and be enlarged; because the abundance of the sea shall be converted unto thee, the forces of the Gentiles shall come unto thee. 6 The multitude of camels shall cover thee, the dromedaries of Midian and Ephah; all they from Sheba shall come: they shall bring gold and incense; and they shall shew forth the praises of the LORD. 7 All the flocks of Kedar shall be gathered together unto thee, the rams of Nebaioth shall minister unto thee: they shall come up with acceptance on mine altar, and I will glorify the house of my glory. 8 Who are these that fly as a cloud, and as the doves to their windows? 9 Surely the isles shall wait for me, and the ships of Tarshish first, to bring thy sons from far, their silver and their gold with them, unto the name of the LORD thy God, and to the Holy One of Israel, because he hath glorified thee. 10 And the sons of strangers shall build up thy walls, and their kings shall minister unto thee: for in my wrath I smote thee, but in my favour have I had mercy on thee. 11 Therefore thy gates shall be open continually; they shall not be shut day nor night; that men may bring unto thee the forces of the Gentiles, and that their kings may be brought. 12 For the nation and kingdom that will not serve thee shall perish; yea, those nations shall be utterly wasted. 13 The glory of Lebanon shall come unto thee, the fir tree, the pine tree, and the box together, to beautify the place of my sanctuary; and I will make the place of my feet glorious. 14 The sons also of them that afflicted thee shall come bending unto thee; and all they that despised thee shall bow themselves down at the soles of thy feet; and they shall call thee; The city of the LORD, The Zion of the Holy One of Israel. 15 Whereas thou has been forsaken and hated, so that no man went through thee, I will make thee an eternal excellency, a joy of many generations. 16 Thou shalt also suck the milk of the Gentiles, and shalt suck the breast of kings: and thou shalt know that I the LORD am thy Saviour and thy Redeemer, the mighty One of Jacob. 17 For brass I will bring gold, and for iron I will bring silver, and for wood brass, and for stones iron: I will also make thy officers peace, and thine exactors righteousness. 18 Violence shall no more be heard in thy land, wasting nor destruction within thy borders; but thou shalt call thy walls Salvation, and thy gates Praise. 19 The sun shall be no more thy light by day; neither for brightness shall the moon give light unto thee: but the LORD shall be unto thee an everlasting light, and thy God thy glory. 20 Thy sun shall no more go down; neither shall thy moon withdraw itself: for the LORD shall be thine everlasting light, and the days of thy mourning shall be ended. 21 Thy people also shall be all righteous: they shall inherit the land for ever, the branch of my planting, the work of my hands, that I may be glorified. 22 A little one shall become a thousand, and a small one a strong nation: I the LORD will hasten it in his time.

 Isaiah 60




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